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2024-12-14 04:33:08

China Merchants Securities: Investment Guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year From these four aspects, China Merchants Securities said that the investment guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year mainly include the following aspects: 1) From a macro perspective, the support intensity of policies for various economic work is expected to exceed market expectations. Specifically, the fiscal policy orientation is positive, deficit ratio will arrange or keep it above 3%, the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be further expanded, and the scale and investment field of special bonds are expected to be further extended; Monetary policy mentioned "timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates", and the goal of liquidity policy changed from balance to loose tendency, which will bring room for valuation improvement of A shares. 2) From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, consumption will become the main line of investment next year: the meeting will continue the deployment of the Politburo meeting in December, and in the order of writing, consumption will still be placed at the top of next year's key tasks. In terms of specific measures, it is planned to boost consumption mainly through two aspects. First, increase the income of residents; The second is to increase consumption scenarios. 3) Focus on scientific and technological innovation to lead the development of new quality productive forces, and grasp two main lines: this meeting focused on "carrying out' artificial intelligence+'action and cultivating future industries". Artificial intelligence has appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for three consecutive years. Future industries have also appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on artificial intelligence+and future industries. 4) Focus on "comprehensive improvement of' involution' competition": In terms of "involution" competition, photovoltaic industry is the representative in emerging industries. Recently, in addition to self-regulatory measures such as industry association initiatives, the photovoltaic export tax rebate rate has been lowered and industry norms have been updated to further control new production capacity. The policy is further introduced to curb the "involution" competition of photovoltaics. It is recommended to pay attention to photovoltaic, lithium battery and other industries.As of the close of early trading, the Nikkei 225 index fell by 1.2% and the Dongzheng index fell by 1.3%.On the afternoon of December 13th, the Central District Court of Seoul, South Korea, examined the necessity of the arrest of Zhao Zhihao, director of the police department, and Zhao Zhihao, director of the police department suspected of participating in the emergency martial law incident. On the 11th, the special investigation team for emergency martial law of the National Investigation Department of the South Korean Police made an emergency arrest on the suspicion of "civil unrest" against the police chiefs of Zhao Zhihao and Seoul, and applied to the court for their arrest warrants on the 12th. Later, Kim Fung-sik said that he would give up attending the review on the necessity of arrest. On 13th, Zhao Zhihao didn't answer a reporter's question after arriving at Seoul Central District Court, but his defense lawyer said that Zhao Zhihao "opposed martial law and wanted to protect democracy, not the object of punishment". The police believe that Zhao Zhihao and Jin Fengzhi met with Yin Xiyue and participated in the martial law plan before the martial law was issued by South Korean President Yin Xiyue, and assisted Yin Xiyue in enforcing martial law by sending police to control the National Assembly. Zhao Zhihao is also suspected of sending police to the Central Electoral Affairs Commission to help enforce martial law. The Seoul Central District Court will make a decision on whether to issue an arrest warrant for them late at night on the 13th or early on the 14th. (CCTV News)


The new CEO of Pakistan Stock Exchange said that the exchange is seeking to provide traders with the option of cash settlement of futures trading, and plans to conduct a test before March next year.Beizheng 50 rose more than 1%, Huayang Racing Car had a daily limit of 30CM, and Ricky Zhizao, Fuheng New Materials and Bai Xinglong rose more than 10%.Pan Xuan, Beijing Local Financial Administration: The total investable assets of households in Beijing's wealth management market are about 16 trillion yuan. Pan Xuan, deputy director of Beijing Local Financial Administration, pointed out in the global wealth management forum today that Beijing's wealth management industry has good basic conditions, huge market potential and strong demand, and has unique advantages in developing wealth management industry. Among them, on the supply side, the asset management scale of institutions such as bank wealth management, insurance asset management, Public Offering of Fund, private equity funds, trusts and brokerage asset management in Beijing exceeds 30 trillion yuan, accounting for nearly 30% of the country; At the same time, the scale of private equity and venture capital management is also the first in the country. On the demand side, the total investable assets of households in Beijing are about 16 trillion yuan, and the number of high-net-worth families, ultra-high-net-worth families and international ultra-high-net-worth families ranks first in the country.


Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.Many foreign ministers will hold talks in Jordan to discuss the latest development of the situation in Syria. Jordan announced that it will hold a meeting on December 14th local time to discuss the latest development of the situation in Syria. At the invitation of Jordan, the foreign ministers of the member countries of the Liaison Committee of Arab Ministers on Syria, established by the resolution of the Arab League, including Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Lebanon and Egypt, and the Secretary-General of the Arab League, will hold a meeting in Aqaba, a city in southern Jordan. The meeting will also be attended by foreign ministers from the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Qatar. The Arab foreign ministers attending the meeting will also hold talks with the Turkish foreign minister, the US Secretary of State, the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, and the UN Special Envoy for Syria.Hongxin Electronics: Promote the technical research and development and product supply of folding mobile phone reels with Xiaomi. Hongxin Electronics officially announced today that recently, the 2024 Xiaomi Global Core Supplier Conference was held in Beijing Yanqi Lake International Convention & Exhibition Center. Under the background that Xiaomi's strategy of "people, cars and homes are all ecological" continues to deepen, Hongxin Electronics will closely follow Xiaomi's footsteps, actively expand emerging fields such as home appliances and automobiles, and provide all-round support and services in flexible electronics for Xiaomi's intelligent hardware all-ecological products. At present, in the face of the booming folding mobile phone market, Hongxin Electronics and Xiaomi jointly promote the technology research and development and product supply of folding mobile phone reels. According to reports, in the era of vigorous development of artificial intelligence and digital economy, at present, Hongxin Electronics has deeply laid out frontier fields such as AI mobile phones, AIPC, smart cars, smart homes, smart wearable devices, robots, industrial control, medical care and meta-universe.

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